Projection model
2026Forecast map
Each 2026 Senate race shaded by its projected margin, from public polls and past results. States without a Senate race are gray.
Interactive maps
All our maps, one page.
The 2026 projection, certified county results, poll-closing times and where outside money went. State by state and county by county, with a source under every map.
- Election Day
- Nov 3
- Races modeled
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- Counties
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- Model updated
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Certified results
2024County results map
The 2024 presidential margin in every county, from certified counts. Pick a state for the full county panel.
2024 baseline
Electoral map
Start from the certified 2024 result and assign every state yourself. The totals are arithmetic, not a forecast.
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electoral votes
By state
County maps by state
Every state and DC, county by county, with a ranked list and the shift since 2020.
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states and DC
2020 to 2024 shift
County atlas
One national county map with layers for each margin, the shift between them and total votes.
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national shift
Counties per state
Bellwether counties
Counties whose presidential result matched the national winner in both 2020 and 2024, with the rule written out.
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counties matched both times
Official links
Early vote and mail ballots
Each state's own page for early voting and mail ballot tracking, with the link checked.
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links checked
Election night
Poll-closing times
When the last polling place closes in each state, shown in Eastern time, from official sources.
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first polls close
FEC filings
Outside spending
Independent expenditures for and against federal candidates in each state, summed as filed.
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reported so far
Where it started
Results archive
Presidential results by state for every election in the archive, and by county for 2020 and 2024.
Red and blue only mark results and projections. Counts, links and money use the violet scale.